electionsmcp › races › California State Senate District 31
California State Senate District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State Senate District 31 →
Current officeholder
Sabrina Cervantes Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+20.4
2024 votes cast
4,600
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
498 precincts reported in California State Senate District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06065-202121A | Republican | R+16.3 | 2,392 |
| 06065-252024A | Democratic | D+16.7 | 2,390 |
| 06065-502007A | Democratic | D+24.5 | 2,375 |
| 06065-222106A | Republican | R+7.6 | 2,220 |
| 06065-221107A | Democratic | D+2.5 | 2,123 |
| 06065-504034A | Democratic | D+22.3 | 2,026 |
| 06065-503038A | Democratic | D+28.8 | 2,021 |
| 06065-251001A | Democratic | D+6.6 | 1,977 |
| 06065-503024A | Democratic | D+14.6 | 1,944 |
| 06065-504019A | Democratic | D+36.2 | 1,941 |
| 06065-132005A | Democratic | D+28.8 | 1,929 |
| 06065-123028A | Democratic | D+4.3 | 1,919 |
| 06065-127005A | Democratic | D+22.6 | 1,916 |
| 06065-502014A | Democratic | D+15.1 | 1,882 |
| 06065-123014A | Democratic | D+12.8 | 1,850 |
| 06065-119086A | Democratic | D+10.0 | 1,845 |
| 06065-503027A | Democratic | D+30.3 | 1,841 |
| 06065-503033A | Democratic | D+19.3 | 1,836 |
| 06065-251022A | Democratic | D+10.0 | 1,834 |
| 06065-121040A | Democratic | D+39.4 | 1,826 |
All 498 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State Senate District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State Senate District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State Senate District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State Senate District 31?
Sabrina Cervantes (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State Senate District 31?
D+20.4 — 2,769 Democratic, 1,831 Republican, of 4,600 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.