electionsmcp › races › California State House District 5
California State House District 5
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 5 →
Current officeholder
Joe Patterson Republican
2024 result
Republican R+24.0
2024 votes cast
280,697
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
571 precincts reported in California State House District 5's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06061-0254403A | Republican | R+1.7 | 1,998 |
| 06061-0157408A | Republican | R+7.0 | 1,983 |
| 06061-0157401A | Republican | R+1.1 | 1,906 |
| 06061-0254408A | Republican | R+5.2 | 1,892 |
| 06061-0552002A | Republican | R+4.6 | 1,837 |
| 06061-0254401A | Republican | R+2.0 | 1,819 |
| 06061-0356047A | Republican | R+17.5 | 1,813 |
| 06061-0257511A | Democratic | D+1.0 | 1,788 |
| 06061-0457303A | Republican | R+17.6 | 1,729 |
| 06061-0257528A | Republican | R+1.2 | 1,719 |
| 06061-0257501A | Republican | R+5.1 | 1,717 |
| 06061-0451202A | Republican | R+21.5 | 1,676 |
| 06061-0356036A | Republican | R+6.7 | 1,649 |
| 06061-0457203A | Republican | R+9.9 | 1,640 |
| 06061-0551466A | Republican | R+26.6 | 1,611 |
| 06061-0257513A | Democratic | D+9.5 | 1,604 |
| 06017-413-66A | Republican | R+36.9 | 1,598 |
| 06061-0157506A | Republican | R+10.2 | 1,595 |
| 06061-0257517A | Republican | R+6.1 | 1,593 |
| 06061-0157412A | Republican | R+5.4 | 1,588 |
All 571 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 5 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 5 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 5 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 5?
Joe Patterson (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 5?
R+24.0 — 106,700 Democratic, 173,997 Republican, of 280,697 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.