electionsmcp › races › California State House District 31
California State House District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 31 →
Current officeholder
Joaquin Arambula Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+20.5
2024 votes cast
115,610
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
321 precincts reported in California State House District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06019-0000239A | Democratic | D+13.8 | 2,578 |
| 06019-0000458A | Democratic | D+10.6 | 2,156 |
| 06019-0000203A | Democratic | D+9.3 | 2,033 |
| 06019-0000343A | Democratic | D+53.2 | 1,984 |
| 06019-0000387A | Democratic | D+47.1 | 1,956 |
| 06019-0000369A | Democratic | D+49.4 | 1,900 |
| 06019-0000275A | Democratic | D+23.4 | 1,875 |
| 06019-0000344A | Democratic | D+51.7 | 1,819 |
| 06019-0000329A | Democratic | D+20.9 | 1,766 |
| 06019-0000097A | Democratic | D+29.6 | 1,747 |
| 06019-0000202A | Democratic | D+15.9 | 1,634 |
| 06019-0000233A | Democratic | D+1.5 | 1,618 |
| 06019-0000396A | Democratic | D+36.6 | 1,574 |
| 06019-0000320A | Democratic | D+33.6 | 1,561 |
| 06019-0000394A | Democratic | D+31.3 | 1,465 |
| 06019-0000237A | Democratic | D+13.8 | 1,447 |
| 06019-0000397A | Democratic | D+27.6 | 1,407 |
| 06019-0000096A | Democratic | D+19.7 | 1,397 |
| 06019-0000338A | Democratic | D+47.3 | 1,354 |
| 06019-0000379A | Democratic | D+60.1 | 1,342 |
All 321 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 31?
Joaquin Arambula (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 31?
D+20.5 — 69,669 Democratic, 45,941 Republican, of 115,610 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.