electionsmcp › races › California State House District 27
California State House District 27
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 27 →
Current officeholder
Esmeralda Soria Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+8.8
2024 votes cast
112,559
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
750 precincts reported in California State House District 27's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06019-0000413A | Democratic | D+24.7 | 2,627 |
| 06039-3001A | Democratic | D+17.6 | 2,234 |
| 06039-3008A | Republican | R+1.7 | 1,990 |
| 06039-3017A | Democratic | D+6.7 | 1,785 |
| 06019-0000104A | Democratic | D+9.4 | 1,760 |
| 06019-0000438A | Democratic | D+7.4 | 1,680 |
| 06039-2241A | Republican | R+8.4 | 1,347 |
| 06039-2131A | Republican | R+18.1 | 1,306 |
| 06047-25117A | Democratic | D+8.7 | 1,224 |
| 06019-0000101A | Democratic | D+19.5 | 1,198 |
| 06019-0000442A | Democratic | D+9.4 | 1,186 |
| 06019-0000429A | Democratic | D+18.6 | 1,152 |
| 06019-0000410A | Democratic | D+25.7 | 1,142 |
| 06019-0000430A | Democratic | D+19.5 | 1,135 |
| 06039-2047A | Republican | R+8.2 | 987 |
| 06039-4042A | Democratic | D+31.1 | 987 |
| 06039-2105A | Republican | R+33.2 | 922 |
| 06019-0000103A | Democratic | D+12.1 | 906 |
| 06039-2119A | Republican | R+10.4 | 886 |
| 06047-31106A | Democratic | D+19.6 | 803 |
All 750 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 27 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 27 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 27 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 27?
Esmeralda Soria (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 27?
D+8.8 — 61,259 Democratic, 51,300 Republican, of 112,559 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.