electionsmcp › races › Pennsylvania State House District 154
Pennsylvania State House District 154
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 154 →
Current officeholder
Napoleon J. Nelson Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+60.6
2024 votes cast
38,827
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
45 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State House District 154's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 6 X 1X 6X 1 | Democratic | D+63.7 | 1,497 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 1 X 2X 1X 2 | Democratic | D+33.3 | 1,379 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 7 X 3X 7X 3 | Democratic | D+74.0 | 1,209 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 5 X 1X 5X 1 | Democratic | D+59.9 | 1,182 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 1 X 1X 1X 1 | Democratic | D+55.6 | 1,172 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 2 X 2X 2X 2 | Democratic | D+82.8 | 1,153 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 3 X 2X 3X 2 | Democratic | D+34.4 | 1,147 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 7 X 1X 7X 1 | Democratic | D+48.0 | 1,142 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 4 X 2X 4X 2 | Democratic | D+44.5 | 1,091 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 1 X 1X 1X 1 | Democratic | D+54.7 | 1,072 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 3 X 1X 3X 1 | Democratic | D+29.7 | 1,064 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 6 X 2X 6X 2 | Democratic | D+75.8 | 1,025 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 7 X 2X 7X 2 | Democratic | D+26.1 | 956 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 3 X 2X 3X 2 | Democratic | D+76.1 | 937 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 3 X 4X 3X 4 | Democratic | D+84.5 | 917 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 6 X 2X 6X 2 | Democratic | D+22.5 | 898 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 7 X 2X 7X 2 | Democratic | D+66.0 | 888 |
| 42091-SPRINGFIELD X 2 X 1X 2X 1 | Democratic | D+60.3 | 847 |
| 42091-CHELTENHAM X 6 X 3X 6X 3 | Democratic | D+60.0 | 835 |
| 42091-JENKINTOWN X 4X 4 | Democratic | D+60.0 | 834 |
All 45 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 154 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State House District 154 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania State House District 154 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Pennsylvania State House District 154?
Napoleon J. Nelson (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State House District 154?
D+60.6 — 31,179 Democratic, 7,648 Republican, of 38,827 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.