electionsmcp › races › Pennsylvania State House District 151
Pennsylvania State House District 151
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 151 →
Current officeholder
Melissa Cerrato Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+22.9
2024 votes cast
40,647
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
35 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State House District 151's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42091-MONTGOMERY X 8X 8 | Democratic | D+26.8 | 3,211 |
| 42091-MONTGOMERY X 7X 7 | Democratic | D+17.8 | 2,940 |
| 42091-UPPER DUBLIN X 3 X 1X 3X 1 | Democratic | D+40.8 | 2,045 |
| 42091-MONTGOMERY X 6X 6 | Democratic | D+17.6 | 1,673 |
| 42091-MONTGOMERY X 5X 5 | Democratic | D+22.6 | 1,614 |
| 42091-UPPER DUBLIN X 6 X 1X 6X 1 | Democratic | D+38.6 | 1,442 |
| 42091-HORSHAM X 2 X 1X 2X 1 | Democratic | D+7.0 | 1,406 |
| 42091-HORSHAM X 2 X 2X 2X 2 | Democratic | D+19.6 | 1,334 |
| 42091-AMBLER X 2X 2 | Democratic | D+45.6 | 1,301 |
| 42091-HORSHAM X 3 X 3X 3X 3 | Democratic | D+20.3 | 1,252 |
| 42091-AMBLER X 1X 1 | Democratic | D+42.7 | 1,250 |
| 42091-HORSHAM X 1 X 5X 1X 5 | Democratic | D+10.6 | 1,154 |
| 42091-AMBLER X 3X 3 | Democratic | D+42.5 | 1,106 |
| 42091-UPPER DUBLIN X 3 X 2X 3X 2 | Democratic | D+25.4 | 1,059 |
| 42091-UPPER DUBLIN X 2 X 3X 2X 3 | Democratic | D+41.5 | 1,056 |
| 42091-HORSHAM X 3 X 1X 3X 1 | Democratic | D+11.9 | 1,047 |
| 42091-HORSHAM X 2 X 4X 2X 4 | Republican | R+1.3 | 1,025 |
| 42091-MONTGOMERY X 4X 4 | Democratic | D+20.2 | 988 |
| 42091-UPPER DUBLIN X 6 X 2X 6X 2 | Democratic | D+25.4 | 963 |
| 42091-HORSHAM X 4 X 1 (USC 4)X 4X 1 (USC 4) | Democratic | D+6.0 | 960 |
All 35 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 151 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State House District 151 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania State House District 151 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Pennsylvania State House District 151?
Melissa Cerrato (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State House District 151?
D+22.9 — 24,975 Democratic, 15,672 Republican, of 40,647 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.