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Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Glenn Thompson Republican
2024 result
Republican R+42.9
2024 votes cast
390,435
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Glenn Thompson's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
—estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 760,232 people, median age 42.4, median household income $63,954.
Population
760,232
Median age
42.4
Median household income
$63,954
Bachelor's degree or higher
25.1%
Race & ethnicity: White 91.6% · Black 2% · Hispanic 2.2% · Asian 1.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
639 precincts reported in Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42027-STATE COLLEGE X Penn State University (HUB)X Penn State University (HUB) | Democratic | D+36.6 | 3,763 |
| 42033-SANDY P TREASURE LAKEP TREASURE LAKE | Republican | R+49.7 | 2,735 |
| 42027-COLLEGE X NORTHX NORTH | Democratic | D+11.1 | 2,400 |
| 42027-PATTON X NORTH X 2X NORTHX 2 | Democratic | D+5.1 | 2,234 |
| 42027-HARRIS X EASTX EAST | Democratic | D+10.3 | 2,154 |
| 42027-PATTON X NORTH X 1X NORTHX 1 | Democratic | D+26.5 | 2,082 |
| 42117-CHARLESTON | Republican | R+53.5 | 1,996 |
| 42027-WALKER X WESTX WEST | Republican | R+36.0 | 1,948 |
| 42027-HARRIS X WESTX WEST | Democratic | D+12.6 | 1,937 |
| 42027-HALFMOON P East Central (Cong 15)P East Central (Cong 15) | Republican | R+15.7 | 1,901 |
| 42027-COLLEGE X SOUTHX SOUTH | Democratic | D+11.1 | 1,799 |
| 42081-OLD LYCOMING P 1P 1 | Republican | R+43.1 | 1,733 |
| 42027-BENNER X SOUTHX SOUTH | Republican | R+29.1 | 1,665 |
| 42123-PINE GROVE | Republican | R+44.5 | 1,621 |
| 42027-PATTON X SOUTH X 3X SOUTHX 3 | Democratic | D+34.2 | 1,599 |
| 42081-HEPBURN | Republican | R+58.0 | 1,596 |
| 42027-BENNER X NORTHX NORTH | Republican | R+32.8 | 1,497 |
| 42119-WEST BUFFALO | Republican | R+64.5 | 1,482 |
| 42027-POTTER X SOUTHX SOUTH | Republican | R+34.5 | 1,445 |
| 42033-SANDY P WEST SANDYP WEST SANDY | Republican | R+54.3 | 1,428 |
All 639 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District in the simulator →