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Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.

Model Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District →

Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District — highlighted within Pennsylvania's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+42.9 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Glenn Thompson Republican

2024 result

Republican R+42.9

2024 votes cast

390,435

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 760,232 people, median age 42.4, median household income $63,954.

Population

760,232

Median age

42.4

Median household income

$63,954

Bachelor's degree or higher

25.1%

Race & ethnicity: White 91.6% · Black 2% · Hispanic 2.2% · Asian 1.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

639 precincts reported in Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
42027-STATE COLLEGE X Penn State University (HUB)X Penn State University (HUB) Democratic D+36.6 3,763
42033-SANDY P TREASURE LAKEP TREASURE LAKE Republican R+49.7 2,735
42027-COLLEGE X NORTHX NORTH Democratic D+11.1 2,400
42027-PATTON X NORTH X 2X NORTHX 2 Democratic D+5.1 2,234
42027-HARRIS X EASTX EAST Democratic D+10.3 2,154
42027-PATTON X NORTH X 1X NORTHX 1 Democratic D+26.5 2,082
42117-CHARLESTON Republican R+53.5 1,996
42027-WALKER X WESTX WEST Republican R+36.0 1,948
42027-HARRIS X WESTX WEST Democratic D+12.6 1,937
42027-HALFMOON P East Central (Cong 15)P East Central (Cong 15) Republican R+15.7 1,901
42027-COLLEGE X SOUTHX SOUTH Democratic D+11.1 1,799
42081-OLD LYCOMING P 1P 1 Republican R+43.1 1,733
42027-BENNER X SOUTHX SOUTH Republican R+29.1 1,665
42123-PINE GROVE Republican R+44.5 1,621
42027-PATTON X SOUTH X 3X SOUTHX 3 Democratic D+34.2 1,599
42081-HEPBURN Republican R+58.0 1,596
42027-BENNER X NORTHX NORTH Republican R+32.8 1,497
42119-WEST BUFFALO Republican R+64.5 1,482
42027-POTTER X SOUTHX SOUTH Republican R+34.5 1,445
42033-SANDY P WEST SANDYP WEST SANDY Republican R+54.3 1,428

All 639 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District?
Glenn Thompson (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District?
R+42.9 — 111,408 Democratic, 279,027 Republican, of 390,435 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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