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Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.

Model Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District →

Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District — highlighted within Pennsylvania's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+1.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Ryan Mackenzie Republican

2024 result

Republican R+1.0

2024 votes cast

403,314

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Ryan Mackenzie's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#336 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

3.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 770,006 people, median age 41.2, median household income $80,362.

Population

770,006

Median age

41.2

Median household income

$80,362

Bachelor's degree or higher

32%

Race & ethnicity: White 68.4% · Black 6% · Hispanic 20% · Asian 3.1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

353 precincts reported in Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
42077-UPPER MACUNGIE D 8D 8 Republican R+2.7 9,289
42089-POLK Republican R+34.4 4,308
42077-LOWER MACUNGIE D 2D 2 Republican R+0.3 3,609
42077-UPPER MACUNGIE D 5D 5 Democratic D+6.9 3,608
42095-ALLEN X SouthX South Republican R+14.4 3,529
42095-PALMER X UPPER WESTERNX UPPER WESTERN Democratic D+9.8 3,501
42077-UPPER SAUCON D 4D 4 Republican R+4.1 3,437
42077-WEISENBERG Republican R+30.5 3,373
42077-UPPER MILFORD D EASTERND EASTERN Republican R+6.9 3,163
42095-FORKS X EASTERN D 2X EASTERND 2 Democratic D+7.2 3,121
42095-LOWER NAZARETH X 1X 1 Republican R+7.5 3,115
42077-LOWER MACUNGIE D 6D 6 Republican R+3.5 3,068
42095-FORKS X EASTERN D 1X EASTERND 1 Republican R+3.1 2,809
42077-SOUTH WHITEHALL D 8D 8 Democratic D+1.0 2,608
42077-LOWER MILFORD Republican R+23.4 2,571
42077-UPPER MACUNGIE D 2D 2 Democratic D+2.1 2,569
42095-FORKS X WESTERN D 2X WESTERND 2 Democratic D+6.0 2,545
42095-PALMER X UPPER EASTERNX UPPER EASTERN Republican R+5.6 2,527
42077-WASHINGTON D SOUTHERND SOUTHERN Republican R+32.6 2,494
42095-NORTHAMPTON W 3W 3 Republican R+9.4 2,472

All 353 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District?
Ryan Mackenzie (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District?
R+1.0 — 199,626 Democratic, 203,688 Republican, of 403,314 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District?
Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 3.0 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 336 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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