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Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.

Model Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District →

Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District — highlighted within Pennsylvania's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+1.6 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. Republican

2024 result

Republican R+1.6

2024 votes cast

385,074

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.'s district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#320 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

3.4estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 765,141 people, median age 43, median household income $66,602.

Population

765,141

Median age

43

Median household income

$66,602

Bachelor's degree or higher

27.1%

Race & ethnicity: White 74.1% · Black 6.8% · Hispanic 14.2% · Asian 1.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

411 precincts reported in Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
42089-MIDDLE SMITHFIELD X 4X 4 Democratic D+21.8 4,012
42103-DINGMAN D 1D 1 Republican R+26.9 3,793
42089-MIDDLE SMITHFIELD X 2X 2 Democratic D+2.3 3,723
42089-JACKSON X SouthX South Republican R+7.5 3,654
42103-DINGMAN D 2D 2 Republican R+27.7 3,618
42103-BLOOMING GROVE Republican R+20.1 3,223
42089-TUNKHANNOCK X WestX West Democratic D+1.4 3,164
42079-DALLAS D 5D 5 Republican R+18.2 3,095
42127-LAKE Republican R+29.1 3,063
42089-CHESTNUTHILL D 1D 1 Republican R+11.7 3,042
42089-HAMILTON X NORTHX NORTH Republican R+5.7 2,953
42089-COOLBAUGH D 3D 3 Democratic D+43.9 2,882
42079-WRIGHT D 4D 4 Republican R+16.0 2,756
42089-TOBYHANNA X EASTX EAST Democratic D+15.7 2,743
42079-FAIRVIEW D 2D 2 Republican R+11.1 2,736
42103-LEHMAN D 2D 2 Democratic D+22.4 2,673
42069-JEFFERSON Republican R+19.3 2,533
42127-PAUPACK Republican R+31.4 2,488
42103-LEHMAN D 1D 1 Democratic D+8.9 2,480
42127-SALEM Republican R+31.9 2,461

All 411 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District?
Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District?
R+1.6 — 189,411 Democratic, 195,663 Republican, of 385,074 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District?
Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 3.4 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 320 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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