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Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Scott Perry Republican
2024 result
Republican R+1.3
2024 votes cast
406,001
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Scott Perry's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
4.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 772,418 people, median age 40.2, median household income $79,951.
Population
772,418
Median age
40.2
Median household income
$79,951
Bachelor's degree or higher
34.1%
Race & ethnicity: White 71.5% · Black 10.6% · Hispanic 9.9% · Asian 4.5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
318 precincts reported in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42041-SOUTH MIDDLETON P 5P 5 | Republican | R+11.5 | 22,698 |
| 42133-EAST MANCHESTER | Republican | R+15.8 | 4,640 |
| 42133-CARROLL | Republican | R+30.3 | 4,387 |
| 42133-FAIRVIEW D 3D 3 | Republican | R+16.8 | 4,338 |
| 42043-WEST HANOVER D 7D 7 | Republican | R+6.2 | 4,099 |
| 42133-NEWBERRY D 1D 1 | Republican | R+36.2 | 3,960 |
| 42133-DOVER D 2D 2 | Republican | R+30.3 | 3,933 |
| 42133-DOVER D 1D 1 | Republican | R+24.0 | 3,798 |
| 42041-HAMPDEN P 11P 11 | Democratic | D+1.5 | 3,383 |
| 42041-LOWER ALLEN P 2P 2 | Republican | R+0.1 | 3,349 |
| 42041-HAMPDEN P 10P 10 | Republican | R+0.3 | 3,234 |
| 42133-WEST MANCHESTER D 2D 2 | Republican | R+12.4 | 3,202 |
| 42041-NORTH MIDDLETON P 3P 3 | Republican | R+15.0 | 3,160 |
| 42133-CONEWAGO D 1D 1 | Republican | R+21.3 | 3,117 |
| 42133-FRANKLIN | Republican | R+41.0 | 2,893 |
| 42133-SPRINGETTSBURY D 3D 3 | Democratic | D+3.1 | 2,863 |
| 42133-WARRINGTON | Republican | R+43.9 | 2,851 |
| 42041-UPPER ALLEN P 8P 8 | Democratic | D+1.3 | 2,816 |
| 42133-FAIRVIEW D 2D 2 | Republican | R+14.4 | 2,796 |
| 42133-WEST MANCHESTER D 5D 5 | Republican | R+3.9 | 2,783 |
All 318 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →