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Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Lloyd Smucker Republican
2024 result
Republican R+25.8
2024 votes cast
403,313
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Lloyd Smucker's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
3.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 768,324 people, median age 40, median household income $84,225.
Population
768,324
Median age
40
Median household income
$84,225
Bachelor's degree or higher
30%
Race & ethnicity: White 81.9% · Black 3.7% · Hispanic 9.4% · Asian 2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
315 precincts reported in Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42133-WEST MANHEIM D 3D 3 | Republican | R+37.6 | 5,669 |
| 42133-HOPEWELL | Republican | R+45.1 | 3,796 |
| 42133-SPRINGFIELD | Republican | R+26.3 | 3,657 |
| 42133-NORTH CODORUS D 1D 1 | Republican | R+44.9 | 3,396 |
| 42071-RAPHO X Willow CreekX Willow Creek | Republican | R+23.9 | 3,387 |
| 42071-MANOR X Hershey MillX Hershey Mill | Republican | R+8.7 | 3,349 |
| 42133-WINDSOR D 1D 1 | Republican | R+29.6 | 3,342 |
| 42071-PEQUEA D West WillowD West Willow | Republican | R+37.4 | 3,301 |
| 42133-NEW FREEDOM | Republican | R+26.8 | 3,141 |
| 42133-PENN D 4D 4 | Republican | R+43.5 | 3,092 |
| 42071-EAST DONEGAL X MAYTOWN D WestX MAYTOWND West | Republican | R+32.8 | 3,014 |
| 42071-WEST DONEGAL D 4D 4 | Republican | R+27.7 | 2,992 |
| 42133-WINDSOR D 4D 4 | Republican | R+35.1 | 2,921 |
| 42071-MARTIC D MarticvilleD Marticville | Republican | R+52.4 | 2,792 |
| 42133-SHREWSBURY D 2D 2 | Republican | R+29.3 | 2,775 |
| 42071-EPHRATA D Trout RunD Trout Run | Republican | R+30.6 | 2,717 |
| 42133-PEACH BOTTOM | Republican | R+63.1 | 2,706 |
| 42071-EAST HEMPFIELD X SpringX Spring | Democratic | D+0.5 | 2,676 |
| 42133-PENN D 2D 2 | Republican | R+38.7 | 2,652 |
| 42071-BRECKNOCK D BOWMANSVILLED BOWMANSVILLE | Republican | R+54.2 | 2,526 |
All 315 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District in the simulator →