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Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.

Model Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District →

Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Pennsylvania's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+18.1 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Madeleine Dean Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+18.1

2024 votes cast

455,523

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Madeleine Dean's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#374 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

2.4estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 768,425 people, median age 42, median household income $108,583.

Population

768,425

Median age

42

Median household income

$108,583

Bachelor's degree or higher

48.6%

Race & ethnicity: White 76.1% · Black 8.2% · Hispanic 6.2% · Asian 5.8%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

382 precincts reported in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
42091-LIMERICK D 6D 6 Democratic D+6.9 3,859
42091-UPPER PROVIDENCE X TRAPPEX TRAPPE Democratic D+3.5 3,750
42011-WASHINGTON P 2P 2 Republican R+19.1 3,643
42091-UPPER POTTSGROVE Democratic D+4.3 3,505
42091-UPPER PROVIDENCE X OAKSX OAKS Democratic D+18.0 3,452
42091-UPPER PROVIDENCE X MONT CLAREX MONT CLARE Democratic D+19.2 3,205
42091-UPPER PROVIDENCE X MINGO X 2X MINGOX 2 Democratic D+11.6 2,872
42091-PERKIOMEN D 2D 2 Democratic D+9.9 2,849
42091-NEW HANOVER D 3D 3 Republican R+4.8 2,847
42091-LOWER POTTSGROVE X 2X 2 Democratic D+9.0 2,834
42091-LIMERICK D 1D 1 Democratic D+3.3 2,830
42091-NEW HANOVER D 1D 1 Republican R+16.6 2,710
42091-PERKIOMEN D 1D 1 Democratic D+13.3 2,699
42091-SKIPPACK X 3X 3 Democratic D+0.6 2,538
42091-SKIPPACK X 1X 1 Democratic D+9.9 2,486
42091-TRAPPE Democratic D+13.6 2,482
42091-WORCESTER D EAST D 2D EASTD 2 Democratic D+10.3 2,470
42091-SKIPPACK X 2X 2 Democratic D+5.0 2,426
42091-NEW HANOVER D 2D 2 Republican R+13.1 2,325
42091-LIMERICK D 3D 3 Democratic D+1.9 2,318

All 382 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District?
Madeleine Dean (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District?
D+18.1 — 269,066 Democratic, 186,457 Republican, of 455,523 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District?
Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 2.4 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 374 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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