electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District

Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.

Model Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District →

Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District — highlighted within Pennsylvania's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+12.8 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Summer L. Lee Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+12.8

2024 votes cast

416,228

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Summer L. Lee's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#122 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

7.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 761,238 people, median age 39.5, median household income $70,333.

Population

761,238

Median age

39.5

Median household income

$70,333

Bachelor's degree or higher

40.8%

Race & ethnicity: White 73.8% · Black 14.8% · Hispanic 3% · Asian 3.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

859 precincts reported in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
42129-MURRYSVILLE X SARDIS D 2X SARDISD 2 Republican R+26.0 3,153
42129-MURRYSVILLE X NEWLONSBURG D 2X NEWLONSBURGD 2 Republican R+29.6 3,061
42129-MANOR Republican R+34.0 2,134
42129-NORTH HUNTINGDON W 3 P 2W 3P 2 Republican R+30.4 1,977
42129-PENN W 3 P 1W 3P 1 Republican R+42.1 1,956
42129-NORTH HUNTINGDON W 3 P 1W 3P 1 Republican R+32.3 1,930
42003-JEFFERSON HILLS D 9D 9 Republican R+20.4 1,864
42129-MURRYSVILLE X EAST MANORDALEX EAST MANORDALE Republican R+31.3 1,809
42003-PLUM D 19D 19 Republican R+25.5 1,796
42129-MURRYSVILLE X WEST MURRYSVILLEX WEST MURRYSVILLE Republican R+23.8 1,758
42129-PENN W 4 P 1W 4P 1 Republican R+43.2 1,698
42129-PENN W 2 P 2W 2P 2 Republican R+38.3 1,640
42003-SOUTH PARK D 13D 13 Republican R+28.0 1,617
42003-PITTSBURGH W 2 D 1W 2D 1 Democratic D+48.1 1,542
42129-MURRYSVILLE X SOUTH MURRYSVILLEX SOUTH MURRYSVILLE Republican R+29.7 1,527
42129-NORTH HUNTINGDON W 1 P 3W 1P 3 Republican R+44.5 1,511
42003-PLUM D 1D 1 Republican R+15.3 1,507
42129-MURRYSVILLE X MANORDALEX MANORDALE Republican R+30.3 1,497
42129-PENN W 1 P 1W 1P 1 Republican R+46.4 1,490
42003-PITTSBURGH W 2 D 2W 2D 2 Democratic D+30.2 1,467

All 859 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District?
Summer L. Lee (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District?
D+12.8 — 234,802 Democratic, 181,426 Republican, of 416,228 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District?
Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 7.6 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 122 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

More races in Pennsylvania

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →