electionsmcp › races › Pennsylvania State House District 12
Pennsylvania State House District 12
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 12 →
Current officeholder
Brandon Dukes Democratic
2024 result
Republican R+29.7
2024 votes cast
42,943
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
27 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State House District 12's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42019-5 | Republican | R+24.5 | 3,236 |
| 42019-15 | Republican | R+45.3 | 2,569 |
| 42019-375 | Republican | R+19.3 | 2,474 |
| 42019-540 | Republican | R+37.9 | 2,403 |
| 42019-360 | Republican | R+36.5 | 2,397 |
| 42019-410 | Republican | R+12.6 | 2,230 |
| 42019-370 | Republican | R+36.7 | 2,198 |
| 42019-435 | Republican | R+16.7 | 2,084 |
| 42019-10 | Republican | R+41.6 | 1,986 |
| 42019-420 | Republican | R+27.9 | 1,957 |
| 42019-430 | Republican | R+21.2 | 1,899 |
| 42019-720 | Republican | R+22.8 | 1,873 |
| 42019-432 | Republican | R+20.6 | 1,832 |
| 42019-437 | Republican | R+24.8 | 1,507 |
| 42019-542 | Republican | R+35.7 | 1,459 |
| 42019-17 | Republican | R+37.5 | 1,434 |
| 42019-380 | Republican | R+28.4 | 1,399 |
| 42019-19 | Republican | R+43.6 | 1,244 |
| 42019-439 | Republican | R+32.6 | 1,217 |
| 42019-470 | Republican | R+35.0 | 994 |
All 27 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 12 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State House District 12 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Pennsylvania State House District 12 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Pennsylvania State House District 12?
Brandon Dukes (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State House District 12?
R+29.7 — 15,103 Democratic, 27,840 Republican, of 42,943 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.