electionsmcp › races › Florida State Senate District 33
Florida State Senate District 33
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State Senate District 33 →
Current officeholder
Jonathan Martin Republican
2024 result
Republican R+32.1
2024 votes cast
265,658
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
77 precincts reported in Florida State Senate District 33's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12071-101 | Republican | R+37.8 | 7,418 |
| 12071-409 | Republican | R+36.5 | 6,356 |
| 12071-311 | Republican | R+28.6 | 6,043 |
| 12071-402 | Republican | R+39.8 | 6,021 |
| 12071-110 | Republican | R+28.1 | 5,972 |
| 12071-316 | Republican | R+32.0 | 5,882 |
| 12071-222 | Republican | R+20.2 | 5,601 |
| 12071-107 | Republican | R+38.6 | 5,552 |
| 12071-303 | Republican | R+39.0 | 5,326 |
| 12071-304 | Republican | R+36.0 | 5,252 |
| 12071-412 | Republican | R+31.3 | 5,225 |
| 12071-317 | Republican | R+39.4 | 5,188 |
| 12071-212 | Republican | R+17.9 | 5,154 |
| 12071-119 | Republican | R+40.0 | 5,048 |
| 12071-118 | Republican | R+47.6 | 5,012 |
| 12071-108 | Republican | R+43.7 | 4,911 |
| 12071-112 | Republican | R+43.0 | 4,675 |
| 12071-320 | Republican | R+24.4 | 4,659 |
| 12071-318 | Republican | R+29.9 | 4,536 |
| 12071-120 | Republican | R+45.2 | 4,351 |
All 77 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State Senate District 33 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State Senate District 33 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State Senate District 33 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State Senate District 33?
Jonathan Martin (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State Senate District 33?
R+32.1 — 90,247 Democratic, 175,411 Republican, of 265,658 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.