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Florida's 16th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida's 16th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Vern Buchanan Republican
2024 result
Republican R+19.0
2024 votes cast
416,141
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Vern Buchanan's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
5.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 797,764 people, median age 43.5, median household income $81,348.
Population
797,764
Median age
43.5
Median household income
$81,348
Bachelor's degree or higher
34.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 60% · Black 12.1% · Hispanic 21.2% · Asian 2.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
177 precincts reported in Florida's 16th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12057-1242 | Republican | R+3.8 | 9,184 |
| 12081-224 | Republican | R+39.5 | 8,116 |
| 12081-206 | Republican | R+41.2 | 7,828 |
| 12081-26 | Republican | R+36.4 | 7,554 |
| 12081-47 | Republican | R+44.2 | 7,418 |
| 12081-50 | Republican | R+48.5 | 6,322 |
| 12081-203 | Republican | R+37.4 | 6,161 |
| 12081-35 | Republican | R+31.3 | 5,762 |
| 12081-23 | Republican | R+23.3 | 5,712 |
| 12081-227 | Republican | R+36.6 | 5,693 |
| 12081-215 | Republican | R+33.1 | 5,433 |
| 12081-119 | Republican | R+32.8 | 5,291 |
| 12081-221 | Republican | R+25.2 | 5,272 |
| 12057-1360 | Democratic | D+12.4 | 5,065 |
| 12057-1370 | Democratic | D+11.7 | 5,001 |
| 12081-20 | Republican | R+29.4 | 4,759 |
| 12057-1390 | Republican | R+4.2 | 4,546 |
| 12081-32 | Republican | R+35.5 | 4,513 |
| 12081-125 | Republican | R+18.9 | 4,502 |
| 12057-1385 | Democratic | D+0.8 | 4,450 |
All 177 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida's 16th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida's 16th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida's 16th Congressional District in the simulator →