electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Florida's 19th Congressional District

Florida's 19th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.

Model Florida's 19th Congressional District →

Florida's 19th Congressional District — highlighted within Florida's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+32.6 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Byron Donalds Republican

2024 result

Republican R+32.6

2024 votes cast

415,746

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Byron Donalds's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#264 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

4.5estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 787,875 people, median age 53.6, median household income $78,761.

Population

787,875

Median age

53.6

Median household income

$78,761

Bachelor's degree or higher

37%

Race & ethnicity: White 69.4% · Black 6.4% · Hispanic 19.4% · Asian 1.8%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

122 precincts reported in Florida's 19th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
12071-202 Republican R+29.9 10,661
12071-314 Republican R+41.0 8,627
12071-101 Republican R+36.9 7,585
12071-409 Republican R+36.6 6,480
12071-313 Republican R+32.9 6,396
12071-311 Republican R+27.9 6,193
12071-402 Republican R+39.4 6,133
12071-110 Republican R+27.9 6,106
12071-316 Republican R+30.1 6,028
12071-304 Republican R+35.5 5,915
12071-222 Republican R+19.5 5,729
12071-210 Republican R+19.3 5,710
12071-107 Republican R+37.4 5,673
12071-303 Republican R+36.4 5,475
12071-412 Republican R+30.6 5,331
12071-317 Republican R+36.4 5,327
12071-212 Republican R+15.7 5,290
12021-2550 Republican R+29.6 5,246
12071-119 Republican R+39.4 5,164
12071-118 Republican R+47.9 5,095

All 122 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Florida's 19th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida's 19th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Florida's 19th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Florida's 19th Congressional District?
Byron Donalds (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida's 19th Congressional District?
R+32.6 — 140,038 Democratic, 275,708 Republican, of 415,746 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Florida's 19th Congressional District?
Florida's 19th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 4.5 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 264 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

More races in Florida

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →