electionsmcp › races › Florida's 14th Congressional District
Florida's 14th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida's 14th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Kathy Castor Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+15.4
2024 votes cast
350,185
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Kathy Castor's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
5.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 776,343 people, median age 39.2, median household income $71,835.
Population
776,343
Median age
39.2
Median household income
$71,835
Bachelor's degree or higher
40.3%
Race & ethnicity: White 47.2% · Black 17.8% · Hispanic 27.6% · Asian 3.5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
235 precincts reported in Florida's 14th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12103-197 | Democratic | D+20.6 | 4,871 |
| 12057-612 | Republican | R+10.7 | 4,557 |
| 12057-20 | Republican | R+11.8 | 4,430 |
| 12057-512 | Republican | R+0.7 | 4,182 |
| 12103-125 | Democratic | D+17.5 | 3,956 |
| 12057-27 | Democratic | D+2.2 | 3,833 |
| 12103-71 | Democratic | D+25.0 | 3,833 |
| 12057-17 | Republican | R+3.2 | 3,824 |
| 12057-1422 | Democratic | D+25.7 | 3,335 |
| 12057-24 | Democratic | D+9.9 | 3,263 |
| 12057-605 | Republican | R+5.1 | 3,246 |
| 12103-92 | Democratic | D+26.7 | 3,148 |
| 12057-529 | Democratic | D+8.4 | 3,110 |
| 12103-137 | Republican | R+8.3 | 3,051 |
| 12057-1342 | Republican | R+19.6 | 3,031 |
| 12057-105 | Republican | R+3.3 | 2,993 |
| 12103-109 | Democratic | D+35.0 | 2,993 |
| 12103-156 | Democratic | D+7.1 | 2,947 |
| 12057-78 | Republican | R+5.7 | 2,932 |
| 12103-166 | Democratic | D+7.2 | 2,878 |
All 235 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida's 14th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida's 14th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida's 14th Congressional District in the simulator →