electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 103
Florida State House District 103
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 103 →
Current officeholder
Robin Bartleman Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+8.3
2024 votes cast
91,266
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
33 precincts reported in Florida State House District 103's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12011-W018 | Democratic | D+30.0 | 6,286 |
| 12011-X024 | Democratic | D+8.6 | 5,564 |
| 12011-X027 | Democratic | D+7.2 | 5,209 |
| 12011-W016 | Democratic | D+24.3 | 5,056 |
| 12011-Q067 | Democratic | D+4.7 | 4,839 |
| 12011-Q068 | Democratic | D+12.8 | 4,759 |
| 12011-Q062 | Democratic | D+10.8 | 4,220 |
| 12011-X023 | Democratic | D+15.6 | 4,208 |
| 12011-Q063 | Democratic | D+2.9 | 3,841 |
| 12011-X019 | Democratic | D+21.7 | 3,616 |
| 12011-W017 | Democratic | D+17.1 | 3,560 |
| 12011-Q065 | Democratic | D+11.0 | 3,442 |
| 12011-X025 | Democratic | D+5.3 | 3,306 |
| 12011-X022 | Democratic | D+12.3 | 3,180 |
| 12011-X028 | Democratic | D+0.1 | 3,130 |
| 12011-Q066 | Democratic | D+11.2 | 3,127 |
| 12011-Q061 | Republican | R+3.1 | 2,935 |
| 12011-W019 | Democratic | D+9.0 | 2,448 |
| 12011-X001 | Democratic | D+5.7 | 2,264 |
| 12011-Q060 | Republican | R+3.2 | 2,255 |
All 33 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 103 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 103 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State House District 103 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 103?
Robin Bartleman (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 103?
D+8.3 — 49,429 Democratic, 41,837 Republican, of 91,266 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.