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Florida's 2nd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida's 2nd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Neal P. Dunn Republican
2024 result
Republican R+23.3
2024 votes cast
402,280
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Neal P. Dunn's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
6.9estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 781,278 people, median age 38.8, median household income $61,941.
Population
781,278
Median age
38.8
Median household income
$61,941
Bachelor's degree or higher
30.7%
Race & ethnicity: White 63.4% · Black 22.8% · Hispanic 7.3% · Asian 1.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
323 precincts reported in Florida's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12005-2641 | Republican | R+55.5 | 6,410 |
| 12005-2681 | Republican | R+42.3 | 5,958 |
| 12129-2 | Republican | R+44.7 | 5,587 |
| 12005-2598 | Republican | R+38.3 | 5,442 |
| 12005-2635 | Republican | R+58.2 | 4,976 |
| 12005-2615 | Republican | R+53.4 | 4,760 |
| 12005-2526 | Republican | R+55.6 | 4,545 |
| 12005-2567 | Republican | R+53.0 | 4,250 |
| 12131-530 | Republican | R+46.5 | 4,161 |
| 12005-2552 | Republican | R+57.2 | 4,056 |
| 12005-2606 | Republican | R+42.9 | 4,029 |
| 12005-2630 | Republican | R+48.4 | 3,814 |
| 12073-80 | Republican | R+9.3 | 3,811 |
| 12073-79 | Republican | R+3.8 | 3,746 |
| 12005-4593 | Republican | R+74.9 | 3,651 |
| 12131-540 | Republican | R+57.3 | 3,486 |
| 12005-2578 | Republican | R+55.6 | 3,389 |
| 12005-2586 | Republican | R+57.6 | 3,379 |
| 12073-99 | Republican | R+22.4 | 3,316 |
| 12073-123 | Democratic | D+1.7 | 3,286 |
All 323 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida's 2nd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →