electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 21
Florida State House District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 21 →
Current officeholder
Yvonne Hayes Hinson Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2022 general
47 precincts reported in Florida State House District 21's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12001-38_Senior Recreation Center | Democratic | D+19.9 | 2,861 |
| 12083-2070_2070 | Republican | R+24.9 | 2,781 |
| 12001-27_The Thomas Center | Democratic | D+75.7 | 1,834 |
| 12083-1110_1110 | Republican | R+43.4 | 1,794 |
| 12083-2090_2090 | Republican | R+16.3 | 1,612 |
| 12001-48_Freedom Community Center at Kanapaha | Democratic | D+29.8 | 1,573 |
| 12083-2020_2020 | Republican | R+27.2 | 1,497 |
| 12001-54_Fairfield Inn and Suites Gainesville I-75 | Democratic | D+47.7 | 1,396 |
| 12083-3_3 | Republican | R+30.9 | 1,378 |
| 12083-1080_1080 | Republican | R+43.4 | 1,332 |
| 12001-12_Parkview Baptist Church | Democratic | D+55.1 | 1,292 |
| 12001-28_McPherson Recreation Center | Democratic | D+79.3 | 1,273 |
| 12001-30_Greater Bethel A.M.E. Church | Democratic | D+66.9 | 1,196 |
| 12083-9_9 | Democratic | D+44.6 | 1,156 |
| 12001-8_Hawthorne Community Center | Republican | R+13.1 | 1,128 |
| 12001-23_Florida Museum of Natural History | Democratic | D+52.5 | 1,117 |
| 12001-33_Ironwood Golf Course | Democratic | D+67.2 | 1,116 |
| 12001-10_Micanopy Town Hall | Democratic | D+3.6 | 1,064 |
| 12001-35_Southwest United Methodist Church | Democratic | D+23.3 | 1,059 |
| 12001-44_Phillips Center for the Performing Arts | Democratic | D+56.6 | 1,032 |
All 47 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State House District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 21?
Yvonne Hayes Hinson (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 21?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.