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Florida's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Aaron Bean Republican
2024 result
Republican R+14.5
2024 votes cast
388,966
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Aaron Bean's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
10.1estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 785,432 people, median age 38.6, median household income $69,098.
Population
785,432
Median age
38.6
Median household income
$69,098
Bachelor's degree or higher
26.5%
Race & ethnicity: White 52.8% · Black 30.6% · Hispanic 9.4% · Asian 2.6%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
145 precincts reported in Florida's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12019-113 | Democratic | D+10.6 | 8,248 |
| 12089-23 | Republican | R+44.0 | 6,687 |
| 12031-452 | Democratic | D+3.8 | 6,004 |
| 12019-410 | Republican | R+40.6 | 5,744 |
| 12031-429 | Republican | R+25.2 | 5,614 |
| 12019-600 | Republican | R+47.2 | 5,401 |
| 12089-12 | Republican | R+25.6 | 5,298 |
| 12089-41 | Republican | R+77.2 | 5,278 |
| 12089-53 | Republican | R+77.4 | 5,210 |
| 12019-606 | Republican | R+24.8 | 4,886 |
| 12089-21 | Republican | R+38.0 | 4,811 |
| 12089-13 | Republican | R+32.9 | 4,711 |
| 12031-260 | Republican | R+45.6 | 4,662 |
| 12019-112 | Republican | R+21.4 | 4,552 |
| 12031-288 | Democratic | D+49.3 | 4,526 |
| 12089-33 | Republican | R+59.1 | 4,464 |
| 12031-266 | Republican | R+2.3 | 4,398 |
| 12089-22 | Republican | R+51.6 | 4,259 |
| 12031-46 | Republican | R+13.2 | 4,182 |
| 12031-308 | Democratic | D+15.3 | 4,171 |
All 145 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →