electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 31
Florida State House District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 31 →
Current officeholder
Tyler I. Sirois Republican
2024 result
Republican R+27.4
2024 votes cast
101,249
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
50 precincts reported in Florida State House District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12009-205 | Republican | R+40.3 | 6,008 |
| 12009-102 | Republican | R+42.6 | 5,430 |
| 12009-113 | Republican | R+30.1 | 5,228 |
| 12009-216 | Republican | R+29.3 | 4,911 |
| 12009-114 | Republican | R+22.1 | 4,806 |
| 12009-201 | Republican | R+34.0 | 4,743 |
| 12009-122 | Republican | R+32.9 | 4,270 |
| 12009-404 | Republican | R+26.5 | 4,223 |
| 12009-405 | Republican | R+24.7 | 4,068 |
| 12009-204 | Republican | R+23.2 | 3,362 |
| 12009-203 | Republican | R+27.5 | 2,884 |
| 12009-217 | Republican | R+39.4 | 2,849 |
| 12009-125 | Republican | R+34.3 | 2,846 |
| 12009-415 | Republican | R+26.7 | 2,711 |
| 12009-222 | Republican | R+15.6 | 2,583 |
| 12009-111 | Republican | R+24.6 | 2,447 |
| 12009-221 | Republican | R+23.4 | 2,335 |
| 12009-226 | Republican | R+19.4 | 2,310 |
| 12009-120 | Republican | R+10.3 | 2,280 |
| 12009-115 | Republican | R+24.9 | 2,180 |
All 50 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State House District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 31?
Tyler I. Sirois (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 31?
R+27.4 — 36,769 Democratic, 64,480 Republican, of 101,249 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.