electionsmcp › races › Florida's 15th Congressional District
Florida's 15th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida's 15th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Laurel M. Lee Republican
2024 result
Republican R+12.4
2024 votes cast
347,695
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 799,268 people, median age 38.3, median household income $69,416.
Population
799,268
Median age
38.3
Median household income
$69,416
Bachelor's degree or higher
32.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 50.6% · Black 14.4% · Hispanic 26.3% · Asian 5.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
225 precincts reported in Florida's 15th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12105-106 | Republican | R+37.1 | 5,474 |
| 12105-118 | Republican | R+41.2 | 5,265 |
| 12101-139 | Republican | R+25.6 | 4,946 |
| 12057-889 | Democratic | D+4.7 | 4,694 |
| 12101-554 | Republican | R+2.6 | 4,614 |
| 12101-448 | Republican | R+0.9 | 4,548 |
| 12101-541 | Republican | R+14.4 | 4,048 |
| 12101-334 | Republican | R+6.8 | 3,973 |
| 12101-509 | Republican | R+7.3 | 3,920 |
| 12057-1138 | Republican | R+16.7 | 3,895 |
| 12101-439 | Republican | R+12.4 | 3,848 |
| 12101-326 | Republican | R+20.9 | 3,811 |
| 12057-968 | Republican | R+28.1 | 3,634 |
| 12105-255 | Republican | R+38.3 | 3,545 |
| 12105-254 | Republican | R+37.8 | 3,487 |
| 12101-374 | Republican | R+36.2 | 3,309 |
| 12057-376 | Republican | R+0.3 | 3,300 |
| 12057-1152 | Republican | R+13.6 | 3,299 |
| 12101-206 | Republican | R+25.7 | 3,247 |
| 12057-1159 | Republican | R+4.9 | 3,191 |
All 225 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida's 15th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida's 15th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Florida's 15th Congressional District in the simulator →