electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Florida's 5th Congressional District

Florida's 5th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.

Model Florida's 5th Congressional District →

Florida's 5th Congressional District — highlighted within Florida's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+26.1 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

John H. Rutherford Republican

2024 result

Republican R+26.1

2024 votes cast

424,963

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for John H. Rutherford's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#55 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

10.3estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 791,831 people, median age 38.9, median household income $86,107.

Population

791,831

Median age

38.9

Median household income

$86,107

Bachelor's degree or higher

44.4%

Race & ethnicity: White 64.6% · Black 12.1% · Hispanic 12.2% · Asian 5.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

128 precincts reported in Florida's 5th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
12109-408 Republican R+37.0 8,020
12109-209 Republican R+41.2 6,921
12031-387 Republican R+11.4 6,772
12109-107 Republican R+41.2 6,526
12109-406 Republican R+35.7 6,449
12109-105 Republican R+28.4 6,186
12109-109 Republican R+47.8 6,161
12109-402 Republican R+39.8 5,912
12109-504 Republican R+31.0 5,824
12031-100 Republican R+11.3 5,695
12031-457 Republican R+30.9 5,601
12031-397 Republican R+9.5 5,182
12031-394 Republican R+13.1 5,162
12031-120 Republican R+21.4 5,121
12031-489 Republican R+36.6 5,108
12031-67 Republican R+21.0 5,087
12109-403 Republican R+46.7 4,967
12031-54 Republican R+7.5 4,930
12109-401 Republican R+38.2 4,899
12031-486 Republican R+34.8 4,887

All 128 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Florida's 5th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida's 5th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Florida's 5th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Florida's 5th Congressional District?
John H. Rutherford (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida's 5th Congressional District?
R+26.1 — 156,570 Democratic, 267,471 Republican, of 424,963 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Florida's 5th Congressional District?
Florida's 5th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 10.3 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 55 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

More races in Florida

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →