electionsmcp › races › Florida State Senate District 31
Florida State Senate District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State Senate District 31 →
Current officeholder
Gayle Harrell Republican
2024 result
Republican R+22.9
2024 votes cast
325,168
Office
State Senate
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State Senate District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State Senate District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State Senate District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State Senate District 31?
Gayle Harrell (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State Senate District 31?
R+22.9 — 125,280 Democratic, 199,888 Republican, of 325,168 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.