electionsmcp › races › Florida State Senate District 30
Florida State Senate District 30
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State Senate District 30 →
Current officeholder
Tina Polsky Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
110 precincts reported in Florida State Senate District 30's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12011-167_ | Democratic | D+3.0 | 6,638 |
| 12011-164_ | Republican | R+6.1 | 4,371 |
| 12011-51_ | Democratic | D+10.0 | 3,628 |
| 12011-62_ | Democratic | D+11.5 | 3,624 |
| 12011-84_ | Democratic | D+17.1 | 3,582 |
| 12011-83_ | Democratic | D+26.5 | 3,487 |
| 12011-66_ | Democratic | D+12.6 | 3,307 |
| 12011-70_ | Democratic | D+28.5 | 3,282 |
| 12011-38_ | Democratic | D+18.4 | 3,275 |
| 12011-166_ | Republican | R+3.0 | 3,251 |
| 12011-58_ | Democratic | D+15.7 | 3,212 |
| 12011-11_ | Republican | R+1.8 | 3,181 |
| 12099-1730_1730 | Republican | R+25.1 | 2,796 |
| 12011-57_ | Democratic | D+16.9 | 2,690 |
| 12011-74_ | Democratic | D+16.3 | 2,685 |
| 12011-53_ | Democratic | D+7.4 | 2,660 |
| 12011-69_ | Democratic | D+22.0 | 2,599 |
| 12011-59_ | Democratic | D+12.3 | 2,486 |
| 12011-75_ | Democratic | D+13.4 | 2,462 |
| 12011-78_ | Democratic | D+14.5 | 2,395 |
All 110 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State Senate District 30 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State Senate District 30 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State Senate District 30 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State Senate District 30?
Tina Polsky (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State Senate District 30?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.