electionsmcp › races › Florida State Senate District 38
Florida State Senate District 38
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State Senate District 38 →
Current officeholder
Alexis Calatayud Republican
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
211 precincts reported in Florida State Senate District 38's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12086-510_PRECINCT 051.0 | Republican | R+12.7 | 4,639 |
| 12086-5690_PRECINCT 569.0 | Democratic | D+1.1 | 2,452 |
| 12086-8200_PRECINCT 820.0 | Republican | R+13.3 | 2,331 |
| 12086-8470_PRECINCT 847.0 | Republican | R+12.1 | 2,290 |
| 12086-8100_PRECINCT 810.0 | Republican | R+6.7 | 2,228 |
| 12086-9470_PRECINCT 947.0 | Republican | R+5.2 | 2,223 |
| 12086-6170_PRECINCT 617.0 | Republican | R+26.1 | 2,133 |
| 12086-7210_PRECINCT 721.0 | Republican | R+17.3 | 2,061 |
| 12086-5820_PRECINCT 582.0 | Democratic | D+10.6 | 2,016 |
| 12086-7450_PRECINCT 745.0 | Republican | R+10.9 | 2,004 |
| 12086-8210_PRECINCT 821.0 | Republican | R+13.6 | 2,001 |
| 12086-8130_PRECINCT 813.0 | Democratic | D+31.6 | 1,974 |
| 12086-9690_PRECINCT 969.0 | Republican | R+29.5 | 1,962 |
| 12086-9040_PRECINCT 904.0 | Republican | R+14.1 | 1,917 |
| 12086-6960_PRECINCT 696.0 | Democratic | D+5.0 | 1,910 |
| 12086-9130_PRECINCT 913.0 | Republican | R+35.9 | 1,888 |
| 12086-8250_PRECINCT 825.0 | Republican | R+17.3 | 1,873 |
| 12086-7500_PRECINCT 750.0 | Republican | R+29.5 | 1,794 |
| 12086-8621_PRECINCT 862.1 | Republican | R+3.6 | 1,768 |
| 12086-7520_PRECINCT 752.0 | Democratic | D+2.9 | 1,714 |
All 211 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State Senate District 38 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State Senate District 38 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State Senate District 38 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State Senate District 38?
Alexis Calatayud (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State Senate District 38?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.