electionsmcp › races › Pennsylvania State House District 49
Pennsylvania State House District 49
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 49 →
Current officeholder
Ismail Smith-Wade-El Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+100.0
2024 votes cast
18,064
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
34 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State House District 49's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42071-LANCASTER D 8D 8 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,227 |
| 42071-LANCASTER D 9D 9 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,182 |
| 42071-LANCASTER W 7 P 2W 7P 2 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 805 |
| 42071-LANCASTER D 4D 4 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 768 |
| 42071-LANCASTER D 7D 7 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 743 |
| 42071-LANCASTER W 8 P 4W 8P 4 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 721 |
| 42071-LANCASTER D 5D 5 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 695 |
| 42071-MILLERSVILLE D 2D 2 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 630 |
| 42071-LANCASTER W 2 P 2W 2P 2 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 624 |
| 42071-MILLERSVILLE D 4D 4 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 604 |
| 42071-LANCASTER W 8 P 7W 8P 7 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 588 |
| 42071-LANCASTER W 8 P 8W 8P 8 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 588 |
| 42071-MILLERSVILLE D 1D 1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 582 |
| 42071-LANCASTER D 6D 6 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 572 |
| 42071-MILLERSVILLE D 3D 3 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 537 |
| 42071-LANCASTER W 6 P 8W 6P 8 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 518 |
| 42071-LANCASTER W 8 P 9W 8P 9 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 490 |
| 42071-LANCASTER W 3W 3 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 486 |
| 42071-LANCASTER D 3D 3 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 460 |
| 42071-LANCASTER D 1D 1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 431 |
All 34 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 49 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State House District 49 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania State House District 49 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Pennsylvania State House District 49?
Ismail Smith-Wade-El (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State House District 49?
D+100.0 — 18,064 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 18,064 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.