electionsmcp › races › Pennsylvania State House District 31
Pennsylvania State House District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 31 →
Current officeholder
Perry S. Warren Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+17.7
2024 votes cast
47,314
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
28 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State House District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X SOUTH X 4X SOUTHX 4 | Democratic | D+21.2 | 2,659 |
| 42017-NEWTOWN D 2D 2 | Democratic | D+11.7 | 2,615 |
| 42017-NEWTOWN D 8D 8 | Democratic | D+12.1 | 2,474 |
| 42017-NEWTOWN D 6D 6 | Democratic | D+11.6 | 2,198 |
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X NORTH X 3X NORTHX 3 | Democratic | D+14.2 | 2,165 |
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X NORTH X 2X NORTHX 2 | Democratic | D+15.0 | 2,162 |
| 42017-NEWTOWN D 7D 7 | Democratic | D+14.2 | 2,100 |
| 42017-NEWTOWN D 1D 1 | Democratic | D+24.3 | 2,072 |
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X NORTH X 5X NORTHX 5 | Democratic | D+23.7 | 2,068 |
| 42017-YARDLEY | Democratic | D+32.9 | 1,931 |
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X SOUTH X 9X SOUTHX 9 | Democratic | D+25.0 | 1,930 |
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X NORTH X 6X NORTHX 6 | Democratic | D+22.9 | 1,915 |
| 42017-UPPER MAKEFIELD X 4X 4 | Democratic | D+4.0 | 1,899 |
| 42017-UPPER MAKEFIELD X 3X 3 | Republican | R+1.8 | 1,845 |
| 42017-UPPER MAKEFIELD X 2X 2 | Republican | R+4.1 | 1,641 |
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X NORTH X 1X NORTHX 1 | Democratic | D+15.2 | 1,603 |
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X NORTH X 4X NORTHX 4 | Democratic | D+20.1 | 1,465 |
| 42017-NEWTOWN D 3D 3 | Democratic | D+23.7 | 1,449 |
| 42017-NEWTOWN D 5D 5 | Democratic | D+17.6 | 1,407 |
| 42017-LOWER MAKEFIELD X SOUTH X 7X SOUTHX 7 | Democratic | D+21.0 | 1,379 |
All 28 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State House District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania State House District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Pennsylvania State House District 31?
Perry S. Warren (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State House District 31?
D+17.7 — 27,837 Democratic, 19,477 Republican, of 47,314 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.