electionsmcp › races › Pennsylvania State House District 189
Pennsylvania State House District 189
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 189 →
Current officeholder
Tarah Probst Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+15.0
2024 votes cast
29,512
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
25 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State House District 189's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42089-MIDDLE SMITHFIELD X 4X 4 | Democratic | D+24.9 | 4,035 |
| 42103-LEHMAN D 2D 2 | Democratic | D+21.6 | 2,648 |
| 42103-LEHMAN D 1D 1 | Democratic | D+10.4 | 2,459 |
| 42089-STROUD D 1D 1 | Democratic | D+30.0 | 2,162 |
| 42103-DELAWARE D 2D 2 | Republican | R+32.3 | 2,060 |
| 42103-DELAWARE D 1D 1 | Republican | R+29.7 | 2,054 |
| 42089-SMITHFIELD D 1D 1 | Democratic | D+21.9 | 1,614 |
| 42089-STROUD D 3D 3 | Democratic | D+22.3 | 1,578 |
| 42089-SMITHFIELD D 2D 2 | Democratic | D+7.2 | 1,433 |
| 42089-STROUD D 6D 6 | Democratic | D+18.0 | 1,234 |
| 42089-SMITHFIELD D 3D 3 | Democratic | D+22.1 | 911 |
| 42089-STROUDSBURG W 5W 5 | Democratic | D+31.9 | 778 |
| 42089-EAST STROUDSBURG D 6D 6 | Democratic | D+20.6 | 743 |
| 42089-EAST STROUDSBURG D 4 X 11TH CONGRESSIONALD 4X 11TH CONGRESSIONAL | Democratic | D+20.4 | 701 |
| 42089-EAST STROUDSBURG D 5 X 11TH CONGRESSIONALD 5X 11TH CONGRESSIONAL | Democratic | D+10.9 | 696 |
| 42089-EAST STROUDSBURG D 1 X 11TH CONGRESSIONALD 1X 11TH CONGRESSIONAL | Democratic | D+35.2 | 654 |
| 42089-EAST STROUDSBURG D 2D 2 | Democratic | D+44.0 | 653 |
| 42089-STROUDSBURG W 4W 4 | Democratic | D+41.2 | 639 |
| 42089-STROUDSBURG W 2W 2 | Democratic | D+46.1 | 475 |
| 42089-STROUDSBURG W 3W 3 | Democratic | D+34.3 | 420 |
All 25 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 189 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State House District 189 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania State House District 189 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Pennsylvania State House District 189?
Tarah Probst (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State House District 189?
D+15.0 — 16,970 Democratic, 12,542 Republican, of 29,512 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.