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Pennsylvania State House District 125

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.

Model Pennsylvania State House District 125 →

Pennsylvania State House District 125 — highlighted within Pennsylvania's State House districts · 2024: R+36.9 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Joe Kerwin Republican

2024 result

Republican R+36.9

2024 votes cast

38,876

Office

State House

Precinct results — 2024 general

43 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State House District 125's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
42043-WEST HANOVER D 7D 7 Republican R+18.9 4,046
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 21D 21 Republican R+9.4 1,957
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 19D 19 Democratic D+6.1 1,789
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 15D 15 Democratic D+6.0 1,697
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 16D 16 Republican R+20.2 1,619
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 4D 4 Republican R+27.0 1,381
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 3D 3 Republican R+24.8 1,364
42043-MIDDLE PAXTON D 3D 3 Republican R+45.7 1,303
42043-UPPER PAXTON D 1D 1 Republican R+66.0 1,235
42043-MILLERSBURG Republican R+57.9 1,225
42043-WASHINGTON Republican R+67.7 1,176
42043-JACKSON Republican R+65.7 1,147
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 27D 27 Republican R+6.5 1,134
42043-WEST HANOVER D 1D 1 Republican R+49.3 1,080
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 22D 22 Republican R+24.6 1,069
42043-LOWER PAXTON D 24D 24 Republican R+15.8 1,057
42043-WEST HANOVER D 3D 3 Republican R+26.1 1,050
42043-MIDDLE PAXTON D 1D 1 Republican R+38.1 1,043
42043-MIDDLE PAXTON D 2D 2 Republican R+24.8 1,034
42043-HALIFAX D 1D 1 Republican R+62.9 1,020

All 43 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Pennsylvania State House District 125 in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State House District 125 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Pennsylvania State House District 125 in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Pennsylvania State House District 125?
Joe Kerwin (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State House District 125?
R+36.9 — 12,264 Democratic, 26,612 Republican, of 38,876 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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