electionsmcp › races › Pennsylvania State House District 125
Pennsylvania State House District 125
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 125 →
Current officeholder
Joe Kerwin Republican
2024 result
Republican R+36.9
2024 votes cast
38,876
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
43 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State House District 125's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42043-WEST HANOVER D 7D 7 | Republican | R+18.9 | 4,046 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 21D 21 | Republican | R+9.4 | 1,957 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 19D 19 | Democratic | D+6.1 | 1,789 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 15D 15 | Democratic | D+6.0 | 1,697 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 16D 16 | Republican | R+20.2 | 1,619 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 4D 4 | Republican | R+27.0 | 1,381 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 3D 3 | Republican | R+24.8 | 1,364 |
| 42043-MIDDLE PAXTON D 3D 3 | Republican | R+45.7 | 1,303 |
| 42043-UPPER PAXTON D 1D 1 | Republican | R+66.0 | 1,235 |
| 42043-MILLERSBURG | Republican | R+57.9 | 1,225 |
| 42043-WASHINGTON | Republican | R+67.7 | 1,176 |
| 42043-JACKSON | Republican | R+65.7 | 1,147 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 27D 27 | Republican | R+6.5 | 1,134 |
| 42043-WEST HANOVER D 1D 1 | Republican | R+49.3 | 1,080 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 22D 22 | Republican | R+24.6 | 1,069 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 24D 24 | Republican | R+15.8 | 1,057 |
| 42043-WEST HANOVER D 3D 3 | Republican | R+26.1 | 1,050 |
| 42043-MIDDLE PAXTON D 1D 1 | Republican | R+38.1 | 1,043 |
| 42043-MIDDLE PAXTON D 2D 2 | Republican | R+24.8 | 1,034 |
| 42043-HALIFAX D 1D 1 | Republican | R+62.9 | 1,020 |
All 43 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania State House District 125 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State House District 125 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania State House District 125 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Pennsylvania State House District 125?
Joe Kerwin (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State House District 125?
R+36.9 — 12,264 Democratic, 26,612 Republican, of 38,876 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.