electionsmcp › races › Florida State Senate District 39
Florida State Senate District 39
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State Senate District 39 →
Current officeholder
Bryan Avila Republican
2024 result
Republican R+39.6
2024 votes cast
190,905
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
116 precincts reported in Florida State Senate District 39's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12086-366 | Republican | R+25.9 | 4,882 |
| 12086-480 | Republican | R+42.7 | 3,918 |
| 12086-488 | Republican | R+39.7 | 3,889 |
| 12086-462 | Republican | R+38.4 | 3,602 |
| 12086-450 | Republican | R+18.2 | 3,224 |
| 12086-309 | Republican | R+54.0 | 3,218 |
| 12086-361 | Republican | R+23.4 | 3,197 |
| 12086-371 | Republican | R+22.9 | 3,184 |
| 12086-390 | Republican | R+59.8 | 3,156 |
| 12086-360 | Republican | R+51.2 | 3,107 |
| 12086-385 | Republican | R+54.1 | 2,951 |
| 12086-352 | Republican | R+49.3 | 2,909 |
| 12086-300 | Republican | R+31.6 | 2,879 |
| 12086-351 | Republican | R+9.4 | 2,780 |
| 12086-339 | Republican | R+55.0 | 2,755 |
| 12086-389 | Republican | R+46.6 | 2,755 |
| 12086-388 | Republican | R+50.1 | 2,744 |
| 12086-364 | Republican | R+34.3 | 2,688 |
| 12086-340 | Republican | R+49.7 | 2,670 |
| 12086-355 | Republican | R+16.7 | 2,603 |
All 116 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State Senate District 39 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State Senate District 39 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State Senate District 39 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State Senate District 39?
Bryan Avila (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State Senate District 39?
R+39.6 — 57,635 Democratic, 133,270 Republican, of 190,905 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.