electionsmcp › races › Pennsylvania State Senate District 15
Pennsylvania State Senate District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania State Senate District 15 →
Current officeholder
Patty Kim Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+16.4
2024 votes cast
132,560
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
129 precincts reported in Pennsylvania State Senate District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42043-WEST HANOVER D 7D 7 | Republican | R+5.2 | 4,082 |
| 42043-SWATARA D 10D 10 | Democratic | D+19.4 | 2,298 |
| 42043-SUSQUEHANNA W 8W 8 | Democratic | D+34.4 | 2,055 |
| 42043-SOUTH HANOVER D 2D 2 | Republican | R+7.0 | 1,994 |
| 42043-SUSQUEHANNA W 9W 9 | Democratic | D+42.1 | 1,984 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 21D 21 | Democratic | D+6.4 | 1,974 |
| 42043-EAST HANOVER P 1P 1 | Republican | R+27.1 | 1,888 |
| 42043-SUSQUEHANNA W 2W 2 | Democratic | D+32.0 | 1,882 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 19D 19 | Democratic | D+17.3 | 1,812 |
| 42043-DERRY P 15P 15 | Democratic | D+20.5 | 1,783 |
| 42043-SUSQUEHANNA W 7W 7 | Democratic | D+50.5 | 1,765 |
| 42043-SUSQUEHANNA W 1W 1 | Democratic | D+38.2 | 1,758 |
| 42043-MIDDLETOWN W 2W 2 | Democratic | D+2.6 | 1,743 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 15D 15 | Democratic | D+14.2 | 1,734 |
| 42043-LOWER PAXTON D 16D 16 | Republican | R+5.9 | 1,637 |
| 42043-EAST HANOVER P 2P 2 | Republican | R+38.1 | 1,616 |
| 42043-SUSQUEHANNA W 3W 3 | Democratic | D+53.2 | 1,611 |
| 42043-SOUTH HANOVER D 3D 3 | Republican | R+9.2 | 1,610 |
| 42043-SWATARA D 7D 7 | Democratic | D+26.3 | 1,584 |
| 42043-LOWER SWATARA D 1D 1 | Republican | R+17.8 | 1,567 |
All 129 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania State Senate District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania State Senate District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania State Senate District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Pennsylvania State Senate District 15?
Patty Kim (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Pennsylvania State Senate District 15?
D+16.4 — 77,181 Democratic, 55,379 Republican, of 132,560 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.