electionsmcp › races › Florida State Senate District 4
Florida State Senate District 4
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State Senate District 4 →
Current officeholder
Clay Yarborough Republican
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
101 precincts reported in Florida State Senate District 4's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12089-23_23 Springhill Baptist Church | Republican | R+49.4 | 4,817 |
| 12089-12_12 Atlantic Ave Rec Center | Republican | R+27.9 | 4,479 |
| 12031-1104_1104 | Republican | R+14.6 | 4,317 |
| 12089-21_21 American Beach Community Ce | Republican | R+42.3 | 4,275 |
| 12031-813_813 | Democratic | D+25.7 | 4,041 |
| 12089-13_13 Lighthouse Bible Baptist Ch | Republican | R+33.6 | 3,932 |
| 12031-1316_1316 | Republican | R+41.7 | 3,878 |
| 12031-306_306 | Republican | R+15.7 | 3,873 |
| 12031-603_603 | Republican | R+31.6 | 3,846 |
| 12031-1106_1106 | Republican | R+21.1 | 3,837 |
| 12031-606_606 | Republican | R+43.9 | 3,710 |
| 12089-53_53 Walter Junior Boatright Cou | Republican | R+80.3 | 3,636 |
| 12031-305_305 | Republican | R+29.1 | 3,631 |
| 12031-205_205 | Republican | R+29.4 | 3,598 |
| 12089-41_41 Hilliard Community Center | Republican | R+79.6 | 3,551 |
| 12031-610_610 | Republican | R+47.1 | 3,536 |
| 12031-312_312 | Republican | R+32.5 | 3,529 |
| 12031-612_612 | Republican | R+29.3 | 3,491 |
| 12031-303_303 | Republican | R+32.4 | 3,419 |
| 12031-203_203 | Republican | R+15.2 | 3,315 |
All 101 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State Senate District 4 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State Senate District 4 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State Senate District 4 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State Senate District 4?
Clay Yarborough (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State Senate District 4?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.