electionsmcp › races › Florida State Senate District 2
Florida State Senate District 2
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State Senate District 2 →
Current officeholder
Jay Trumbull Republican
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
138 precincts reported in Florida State Senate District 2's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12131-510_510 | Republican | R+65.0 | 6,107 |
| 12005-19_PCT 19 | Republican | R+67.1 | 6,059 |
| 12131-520_520 | Republican | R+55.9 | 5,868 |
| 12131-430_430 | Republican | R+64.4 | 4,888 |
| 12005-20_PCT 20 | Republican | R+60.2 | 4,414 |
| 12005-4_PCT 4 | Republican | R+67.3 | 4,004 |
| 12005-25_PCT 25 | Republican | R+45.6 | 3,994 |
| 12005-15_PCT 15 | Republican | R+43.1 | 3,984 |
| 12005-17_PCT 17 | Republican | R+57.1 | 3,426 |
| 12091-33_33 | Republican | R+58.3 | 3,356 |
| 12131-530_530 | Republican | R+45.2 | 3,170 |
| 12005-9_PCT 9 | Republican | R+59.7 | 3,079 |
| 12091-10_10 | Republican | R+31.6 | 3,021 |
| 12005-10_PCT 10 | Republican | R+56.0 | 2,834 |
| 12005-16_PCT 16 | Republican | R+49.8 | 2,814 |
| 12091-46_46 | Republican | R+56.3 | 2,799 |
| 12131-310_310 | Republican | R+62.7 | 2,796 |
| 12005-18_PCT 18 | Republican | R+51.9 | 2,654 |
| 12005-11A_PCT 11A | Republican | R+60.8 | 2,651 |
| 12005-12_PCT 12 | Republican | R+61.1 | 2,460 |
All 138 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State Senate District 2 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State Senate District 2 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State Senate District 2 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State Senate District 2?
Jay Trumbull (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State Senate District 2?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.