electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 49
Florida State House District 49
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 49 →
Current officeholder
Jennifer Kincart Jonsson Republican
2024 result
Republican R+34.1
2024 votes cast
79,605
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
42 precincts reported in Florida State House District 49's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12105-248 | Republican | R+37.0 | 4,907 |
| 12105-215 | Republican | R+33.5 | 4,106 |
| 12105-241 | Republican | R+39.6 | 3,678 |
| 12105-333 | Republican | R+35.6 | 3,603 |
| 12105-255 | Republican | R+37.6 | 3,496 |
| 12105-250 | Republican | R+35.9 | 3,294 |
| 12105-504 | Republican | R+24.7 | 2,997 |
| 12105-507 | Republican | R+43.7 | 2,956 |
| 12105-256 | Republican | R+32.3 | 2,946 |
| 12105-249 | Republican | R+41.8 | 2,899 |
| 12105-239 | Republican | R+41.2 | 2,886 |
| 12105-243 | Republican | R+40.7 | 2,696 |
| 12105-245 | Republican | R+38.8 | 2,486 |
| 12105-219 | Republican | R+20.7 | 2,452 |
| 12105-208 | Republican | R+25.1 | 2,399 |
| 12105-247 | Republican | R+31.1 | 2,388 |
| 12105-244 | Republican | R+43.0 | 2,214 |
| 12105-321 | Republican | R+45.4 | 1,953 |
| 12105-518 | Republican | R+64.9 | 1,857 |
| 12105-327 | Republican | R+12.1 | 1,754 |
All 42 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 49 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 49 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State House District 49 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 49?
Jennifer Kincart Jonsson (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 49?
R+34.1 — 26,217 Democratic, 53,388 Republican, of 79,605 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.