electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 46
Florida State House District 46
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 46 →
Current officeholder
Jose Alvarez Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+17.4
2024 votes cast
58,126
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
48 precincts reported in Florida State House District 46's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12097-3006 | Democratic | D+29.3 | 6,954 |
| 12097-3009 | Democratic | D+16.9 | 4,735 |
| 12097-3007 | Democratic | D+40.2 | 3,082 |
| 12097-4102 | Democratic | D+12.2 | 3,037 |
| 12097-1004 | Democratic | D+13.3 | 2,631 |
| 12097-3004 | Democratic | D+13.6 | 2,581 |
| 12097-3000 | Democratic | D+17.4 | 2,499 |
| 12097-1102 | Democratic | D+9.1 | 2,234 |
| 12097-3008 | Democratic | D+34.9 | 1,796 |
| 12097-3003 | Democratic | D+21.9 | 1,707 |
| 12097-2103 | Democratic | D+4.9 | 1,657 |
| 12097-1103 | Democratic | D+15.0 | 1,499 |
| 12097-3002 | Democratic | D+1.3 | 1,436 |
| 12097-1007 | Democratic | D+12.2 | 1,406 |
| 12097-2000 | Democratic | D+5.1 | 1,345 |
| 12097-2100 | Democratic | D+15.8 | 1,245 |
| 12097-4103 | Democratic | D+15.0 | 1,232 |
| 12097-3600 | Democratic | D+19.3 | 1,222 |
| 12097-3010 | Democratic | D+2.0 | 1,145 |
| 12097-3502 | Democratic | D+18.4 | 983 |
All 48 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 46 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 46 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State House District 46 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 46?
Jose Alvarez (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 46?
D+17.4 — 33,142 Democratic, 23,016 Republican, of 58,126 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.