electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 45
Florida State House District 45
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 45 →
Current officeholder
Leonard Spencer Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+1.7
2024 votes cast
95,244
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
43 precincts reported in Florida State House District 45's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12095-102 | Democratic | D+4.3 | 7,610 |
| 12097-1514 | Democratic | D+1.7 | 5,072 |
| 12095-131 | Republican | R+3.6 | 5,055 |
| 12095-164 | Democratic | D+13.7 | 5,028 |
| 12095-157 | Democratic | D+1.2 | 5,021 |
| 12095-120 | Republican | R+14.7 | 4,733 |
| 12095-33 | Democratic | D+8.1 | 4,662 |
| 12095-145 | Republican | R+2.3 | 4,653 |
| 12095-124 | Democratic | D+3.4 | 4,600 |
| 12095-161 | Democratic | D+12.2 | 4,599 |
| 12095-167 | Democratic | D+13.0 | 4,508 |
| 12095-142 | Democratic | D+3.2 | 4,470 |
| 12097-1001 | Democratic | D+16.7 | 3,586 |
| 12095-148 | Republican | R+7.2 | 2,766 |
| 12095-43 | Republican | R+17.4 | 2,500 |
| 12095-116 | Republican | R+25.2 | 2,453 |
| 12095-88 | Democratic | D+13.4 | 2,363 |
| 12095-47 | Republican | R+4.8 | 2,096 |
| 12097-1521 | Republican | R+3.3 | 2,048 |
| 12095-351 | Republican | R+0.1 | 1,939 |
All 43 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 45 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 45 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State House District 45 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 45?
Leonard Spencer (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 45?
D+1.7 — 48,435 Democratic, 46,809 Republican, of 95,244 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.