electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 53
Florida State House District 53
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 53 →
Current officeholder
Jeff Holcomb Republican
2024 result
Republican R+38.1
2024 votes cast
95,828
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
31 precincts reported in Florida State House District 53's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12053-29 | Republican | R+50.0 | 6,879 |
| 12053-48 | Republican | R+33.6 | 4,588 |
| 12053-25 | Republican | R+36.5 | 4,436 |
| 12053-35 | Republican | R+37.5 | 4,416 |
| 12101-225 | Republican | R+54.9 | 4,392 |
| 12053-27 | Republican | R+47.5 | 4,376 |
| 12053-23 | Republican | R+29.9 | 4,333 |
| 12053-19 | Republican | R+30.4 | 3,936 |
| 12053-50 | Republican | R+28.1 | 3,908 |
| 12053-21 | Republican | R+31.1 | 3,625 |
| 12053-13 | Republican | R+34.6 | 3,358 |
| 12053-5 | Republican | R+26.1 | 3,195 |
| 12053-3 | Republican | R+27.3 | 3,179 |
| 12053-46 | Republican | R+42.3 | 2,928 |
| 12053-42 | Republican | R+28.9 | 2,916 |
| 12101-419 | Republican | R+41.3 | 2,803 |
| 12053-40 | Republican | R+26.7 | 2,774 |
| 12101-371 | Republican | R+36.7 | 2,582 |
| 12101-404 | Republican | R+49.2 | 2,513 |
| 12053-33 | Republican | R+47.9 | 2,347 |
All 31 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 53 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 53 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State House District 53 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 53?
Jeff Holcomb (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 53?
R+38.1 — 29,682 Democratic, 66,146 Republican, of 95,828 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.