electionsmcp › races › Florida State Senate District 19
Florida State Senate District 19
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State Senate District 19 →
Current officeholder
Debbie Mayfield Republican
2024 result
Republican R+18.7
2024 votes cast
311,218
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
136 precincts reported in Florida State Senate District 19's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12009-519 | Republican | R+5.1 | 9,658 |
| 12009-309 | Republican | R+12.3 | 9,166 |
| 12009-516 | Republican | R+5.6 | 8,355 |
| 12009-313 | Republican | R+7.1 | 7,628 |
| 12009-441 | Republican | R+22.1 | 6,942 |
| 12009-314 | Republican | R+3.7 | 6,673 |
| 12009-510 | Republican | R+10.9 | 6,439 |
| 12009-205 | Republican | R+37.5 | 5,989 |
| 12009-102 | Republican | R+42.5 | 5,456 |
| 12009-113 | Republican | R+29.8 | 5,263 |
| 12009-422 | Republican | R+25.9 | 5,145 |
| 12009-525 | Republican | R+21.6 | 5,074 |
| 12009-406 | Republican | R+18.5 | 5,058 |
| 12009-427 | Republican | R+23.7 | 5,004 |
| 12009-216 | Republican | R+26.5 | 4,917 |
| 12009-317 | Republican | R+4.5 | 4,859 |
| 12009-201 | Republican | R+29.8 | 4,757 |
| 12009-409 | Republican | R+17.5 | 4,741 |
| 12009-520 | Republican | R+5.8 | 4,521 |
| 12009-322 | Republican | R+3.3 | 4,444 |
All 136 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State Senate District 19 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State Senate District 19 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State Senate District 19 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State Senate District 19?
Debbie Mayfield (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State Senate District 19?
R+18.7 — 126,487 Democratic, 184,731 Republican, of 311,218 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.