electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 21
Texas State House District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 21 →
Current officeholder
Dade Phelan Independent
2024 result
Republican R+100.0
2024 votes cast
66,398
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
82 precincts reported in Texas State House District 21's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48361-1810028 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,070 |
| 48361-1810023 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,889 |
| 48245-1230056 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,825 |
| 48245-1230069 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,631 |
| 48241-1210015 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,607 |
| 48245-1230100 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,575 |
| 48361-1810016 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,549 |
| 48245-1230074 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,545 |
| 48361-1810008 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,498 |
| 48245-1230025 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,460 |
| 48241-1210014 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,391 |
| 48245-1230062 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,326 |
| 48241-1210009 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,288 |
| 48361-1810009 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,268 |
| 48361-1810032 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,265 |
| 48245-1230026 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,219 |
| 48361-1810027 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,218 |
| 48361-1810026 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,203 |
| 48241-1210010 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,173 |
| 48245-1230029 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,166 |
All 82 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 21?
Dade Phelan (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 21?
R+100.0 — 0 Democratic, 66,398 Republican, of 66,398 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.