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Texas's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Pat Fallon Republican
2024 result
Republican R+36.8
2024 votes cast
353,299
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Pat Fallon's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
3.4estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 795,941 people, median age 38.5, median household income $94,632.
Population
795,941
Median age
38.5
Median household income
$94,632
Bachelor's degree or higher
43.8%
Race & ethnicity: White 60.1% · Black 8.9% · Hispanic 14.9% · Asian 11.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
253 precincts reported in Texas's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48181-910109 | Republican | R+60.6 | 4,847 |
| 48397-199001BA | Republican | R+51.4 | 4,149 |
| 48397-199003D | Republican | R+57.8 | 4,033 |
| 48085-430029 | Republican | R+37.4 | 3,896 |
| 48085-430220 | Republican | R+2.5 | 3,743 |
| 48397-1990001 | Republican | R+47.0 | 3,565 |
| 48397-199004A | Republican | R+35.6 | 3,529 |
| 48085-430022 | Republican | R+60.8 | 3,488 |
| 48121-611032 | Republican | R+22.0 | 3,464 |
| 48085-430167 | Democratic | D+8.3 | 3,389 |
| 48181-910404 | Republican | R+71.9 | 3,379 |
| 48397-199001C | Republican | R+49.7 | 3,310 |
| 48085-430030 | Republican | R+20.0 | 3,290 |
| 48085-430109 | Republican | R+18.1 | 3,159 |
| 48397-199003BA | Republican | R+48.5 | 3,156 |
| 48085-430199 | Republican | R+44.7 | 3,081 |
| 48397-1990002 | Republican | R+44.5 | 3,049 |
| 48181-910205 | Republican | R+69.4 | 3,010 |
| 48181-910306 | Republican | R+76.5 | 2,968 |
| 48085-430021 | Republican | R+0.6 | 2,967 |
All 253 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Texas's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →