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Texas's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.

Model Texas's 4th Congressional District →

Texas's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Texas's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+36.8 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Pat Fallon Republican

2024 result

Republican R+36.8

2024 votes cast

353,299

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Pat Fallon's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#317 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

3.4estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage97.4%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 795,941 people, median age 38.5, median household income $94,632.

Population

795,941

Median age

38.5

Median household income

$94,632

Bachelor's degree or higher

43.8%

Race & ethnicity: White 60.1% · Black 8.9% · Hispanic 14.9% · Asian 11.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

253 precincts reported in Texas's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
48181-910109 Republican R+60.6 4,847
48397-199001BA Republican R+51.4 4,149
48397-199003D Republican R+57.8 4,033
48085-430029 Republican R+37.4 3,896
48085-430220 Republican R+2.5 3,743
48397-1990001 Republican R+47.0 3,565
48397-199004A Republican R+35.6 3,529
48085-430022 Republican R+60.8 3,488
48121-611032 Republican R+22.0 3,464
48085-430167 Democratic D+8.3 3,389
48181-910404 Republican R+71.9 3,379
48397-199001C Republican R+49.7 3,310
48085-430030 Republican R+20.0 3,290
48085-430109 Republican R+18.1 3,159
48397-199003BA Republican R+48.5 3,156
48085-430199 Republican R+44.7 3,081
48397-1990002 Republican R+44.5 3,049
48181-910205 Republican R+69.4 3,010
48181-910306 Republican R+76.5 2,968
48085-430021 Republican R+0.6 2,967

All 253 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Texas's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Texas's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Texas's 4th Congressional District?
Pat Fallon (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas's 4th Congressional District?
R+36.8 — 111,696 Democratic, 241,603 Republican, of 353,299 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Texas's 4th Congressional District?
Texas's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 3.4 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 317 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 97.4%.

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