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Texas's 10th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.

Model Texas's 10th Congressional District →

Texas's 10th Congressional District — highlighted within Texas's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+29.6 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Michael T. McCaul Republican

2024 result

Republican R+29.6

2024 votes cast

347,813

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 780,439 people, median age 36, median household income $82,786.

Population

780,439

Median age

36

Median household income

$82,786

Bachelor's degree or higher

40.4%

Race & ethnicity: White 56.1% · Black 10.2% · Hispanic 24.9% · Asian 5.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

293 precincts reported in Texas's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
48473-2370420 Republican R+34.4 3,636
48453-2270272 Republican R+8.6 3,533
48453-2270290 Republican R+22.7 3,437
48041-210069 Republican R+42.0 3,407
48453-2270362 Republican R+16.1 3,332
48041-210026 Republican R+44.0 3,207
48041-210040 Republican R+37.0 3,161
48041-210064 Republican R+51.0 3,141
48453-2270281 Republican R+30.3 3,125
48041-210012 Republican R+28.1 3,039
48041-210010 Republican R+33.4 3,033
48041-210080 Republican R+40.4 3,028
48453-2270270 Democratic D+9.9 3,018
48453-2270280 Republican R+39.0 3,014
48453-2270150A Democratic D+22.1 2,998
48453-2270394 Republican R+7.2 2,992
48453-2270376 Republican R+36.3 2,960
48453-2270390 Republican R+2.4 2,958
48453-2270293 Republican R+20.1 2,956
48041-210035 Republican R+16.7 2,947

All 293 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Texas's 10th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open Texas's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Texas's 10th Congressional District?
Michael T. McCaul (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas's 10th Congressional District?
R+29.6 — 118,278 Democratic, 221,226 Republican, of 347,813 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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