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Texas's 10th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas's 10th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Michael T. McCaul Republican
2024 result
Republican R+29.6
2024 votes cast
347,813
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Michael T. McCaul's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
4.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 780,439 people, median age 36, median household income $82,786.
Population
780,439
Median age
36
Median household income
$82,786
Bachelor's degree or higher
40.4%
Race & ethnicity: White 56.1% · Black 10.2% · Hispanic 24.9% · Asian 5.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
293 precincts reported in Texas's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48473-2370420 | Republican | R+34.4 | 3,636 |
| 48453-2270272 | Republican | R+8.6 | 3,533 |
| 48453-2270290 | Republican | R+22.7 | 3,437 |
| 48041-210069 | Republican | R+42.0 | 3,407 |
| 48453-2270362 | Republican | R+16.1 | 3,332 |
| 48041-210026 | Republican | R+44.0 | 3,207 |
| 48041-210040 | Republican | R+37.0 | 3,161 |
| 48041-210064 | Republican | R+51.0 | 3,141 |
| 48453-2270281 | Republican | R+30.3 | 3,125 |
| 48041-210012 | Republican | R+28.1 | 3,039 |
| 48041-210010 | Republican | R+33.4 | 3,033 |
| 48041-210080 | Republican | R+40.4 | 3,028 |
| 48453-2270270 | Democratic | D+9.9 | 3,018 |
| 48453-2270280 | Republican | R+39.0 | 3,014 |
| 48453-2270150A | Democratic | D+22.1 | 2,998 |
| 48453-2270394 | Republican | R+7.2 | 2,992 |
| 48453-2270376 | Republican | R+36.3 | 2,960 |
| 48453-2270390 | Republican | R+2.4 | 2,958 |
| 48453-2270293 | Republican | R+20.1 | 2,956 |
| 48041-210035 | Republican | R+16.7 | 2,947 |
All 293 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas's 10th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Texas's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →