electionsmcp › races › Texas's 31st Congressional District
Texas's 31st Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas's 31st Congressional District →
Current officeholder
John R. Carter Republican
2024 result
Republican R+28.9
2024 votes cast
355,557
Office
U.S. House
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas's 31st Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 31st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Texas's 31st Congressional District in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas's 31st Congressional District?
John R. Carter (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas's 31st Congressional District?
R+28.9 — 126,470 Democratic, 229,087 Republican, of 355,557 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.