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Texas's 31st Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas's 31st Congressional District →
Current officeholder
John R. Carter Republican
2024 result
Republican R+28.9
2024 votes cast
355,557
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for John R. Carter's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
3.9estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 810,684 people, median age 36.9, median household income $93,699.
Population
810,684
Median age
36.9
Median household income
$93,699
Bachelor's degree or higher
37.8%
Race & ethnicity: White 58.8% · Black 7.8% · Hispanic 23.5% · Asian 5.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
213 precincts reported in Texas's 31st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48027-140213 | Republican | R+64.6 | 3,939 |
| 48491-2460244 | Republican | R+29.8 | 3,744 |
| 48027-140318 | Republican | R+39.1 | 3,681 |
| 48027-140115 | Republican | R+49.0 | 3,666 |
| 48491-2460267 | Republican | R+14.7 | 3,589 |
| 48491-2460369 | Republican | R+9.5 | 3,565 |
| 48491-2460301 | Democratic | D+12.9 | 3,556 |
| 48491-2460252 | Republican | R+11.0 | 3,548 |
| 48491-2460437 | Republican | R+0.2 | 3,524 |
| 48491-2460433 | Democratic | D+1.1 | 3,516 |
| 48027-140315 | Republican | R+32.7 | 3,497 |
| 48491-2460343 | Republican | R+17.1 | 3,492 |
| 48027-140203 | Republican | R+64.2 | 3,463 |
| 48491-2460209 | Republican | R+50.2 | 3,382 |
| 48053-270019 | Republican | R+54.0 | 3,360 |
| 48491-2460306 | Republican | R+49.3 | 3,343 |
| 48099-500101 | Republican | R+29.4 | 3,334 |
| 48491-2460372 | Republican | R+3.8 | 3,226 |
| 48027-140301 | Republican | R+68.7 | 3,224 |
| 48491-2460401 | Republican | R+2.1 | 3,215 |
All 213 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas's 31st Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 31st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Texas's 31st Congressional District in the simulator →