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Texas's 3rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas's 3rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Keith Self Republican
2024 result
Republican R+24.9
2024 votes cast
380,747
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Keith Self's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
2.7estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 809,668 people, median age 37.7, median household income $117,653.
Population
809,668
Median age
37.7
Median household income
$117,653
Bachelor's degree or higher
49.1%
Race & ethnicity: White 56% · Black 10.5% · Hispanic 16.1% · Asian 13%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
204 precincts reported in Texas's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48231-116215A | Republican | R+51.9 | 5,637 |
| 48085-430033 | Republican | R+37.0 | 4,607 |
| 48085-430016 | Republican | R+34.8 | 4,111 |
| 48085-430008 | Republican | R+30.4 | 3,933 |
| 48085-430150 | Republican | R+27.8 | 3,815 |
| 48085-430017 | Republican | R+27.3 | 3,729 |
| 48085-430041 | Republican | R+33.7 | 3,706 |
| 48085-430179 | Republican | R+47.3 | 3,636 |
| 48085-430228 | Republican | R+8.8 | 3,631 |
| 48085-430221 | Republican | R+32.2 | 3,626 |
| 48085-430214 | Republican | R+54.6 | 3,598 |
| 48085-430122 | Republican | R+37.8 | 3,571 |
| 48085-430153 | Republican | R+14.2 | 3,548 |
| 48085-430140 | Republican | R+34.3 | 3,472 |
| 48085-430216 | Republican | R+42.6 | 3,438 |
| 48085-430116 | Republican | R+13.8 | 3,398 |
| 48085-430057 | Republican | R+15.6 | 3,312 |
| 48085-430126 | Republican | R+11.0 | 3,282 |
| 48085-430192 | Republican | R+52.1 | 3,281 |
| 48085-430011 | Republican | R+60.5 | 3,264 |
All 204 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas's 3rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Texas's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →