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Texas's 15th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas's 15th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Monica De La Cruz Republican
2024 result
Republican R+14.2
2024 votes cast
223,769
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 776,234 people, median age 32.8, median household income $57,557.
Population
776,234
Median age
32.8
Median household income
$57,557
Bachelor's degree or higher
22.4%
Race & ethnicity: White 15.1% · Black 1.4% · Hispanic 81.4% · Asian 1.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
285 precincts reported in Texas's 15th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48187-940208 | Republican | R+46.8 | 4,638 |
| 48493-2470313 | Republican | R+66.8 | 2,965 |
| 48493-2470415 | Republican | R+59.7 | 2,758 |
| 48215-1080203 | Republican | R+6.0 | 2,742 |
| 48215-1080030 | Democratic | D+12.1 | 2,716 |
| 48493-2470101 | Republican | R+39.2 | 2,702 |
| 48215-1080083 | Republican | R+13.1 | 2,698 |
| 48215-1080151 | Democratic | D+8.3 | 2,640 |
| 48187-940213 | Republican | R+42.1 | 2,530 |
| 48493-2470207 | Republican | R+49.6 | 2,473 |
| 48187-940106 | Republican | R+40.0 | 2,422 |
| 48215-1080013 | Democratic | D+12.9 | 2,348 |
| 48493-2470205 | Republican | R+69.2 | 2,247 |
| 48493-2470414 | Republican | R+69.3 | 2,233 |
| 48187-940105 | Republican | R+59.1 | 2,226 |
| 48215-1080052 | Republican | R+2.7 | 2,200 |
| 48493-2470311 | Republican | R+73.1 | 2,150 |
| 48493-2470312 | Republican | R+69.3 | 2,145 |
| 48215-1080069 | Republican | R+3.9 | 2,080 |
| 48215-1080038 | Republican | R+5.6 | 2,067 |
All 285 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas's 15th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 15th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas's 15th Congressional District in the simulator →