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Texas U.S. Senate
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Current officeholder
John Cornyn Republican
2024 result
Republican R+8.5
2024 votes cast
11,290,233
Office
U.S. Senate
Texas's U.S. Senators: John Cornyn Republican · Ted Cruz Republican
Who lives in Texas
Texas is home to about 29,640,343 people, median age 35.5, median household income $76,292.
Population
29,640,343
Median age
35.5
Median household income
$76,292
Bachelor's degree or higher
33.1%
Race & ethnicity: White 39.9% · Black 12.2% · Hispanic 39.5% · Asian 5.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas U.S. Senate in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas U.S. Senate (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas U.S. Senate in the simulator →