electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 16
Texas State House District 16
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 16 →
Current officeholder
Will Metcalf Independent
2024 result
Republican R+60.7
2024 votes cast
91,315
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
42 precincts reported in Texas State House District 16's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48339-1700050 | Republican | R+69.0 | 4,130 |
| 48339-1700102 | Republican | R+61.0 | 3,959 |
| 48339-1700040 | Republican | R+54.1 | 3,951 |
| 48339-1700072 | Republican | R+72.1 | 3,821 |
| 48339-1700043A | Republican | R+62.3 | 3,787 |
| 48339-1700063A | Republican | R+70.8 | 3,508 |
| 48339-1700099 | Republican | R+70.2 | 3,395 |
| 48339-1700017 | Republican | R+64.0 | 3,331 |
| 48339-1700077 | Republican | R+70.5 | 3,310 |
| 48339-1700022 | Republican | R+72.8 | 3,249 |
| 48339-1700038 | Republican | R+73.7 | 3,101 |
| 48339-1700019 | Republican | R+70.8 | 3,099 |
| 48339-1700105 | Republican | R+72.0 | 3,092 |
| 48339-1700023 | Republican | R+52.8 | 3,091 |
| 48339-1700008 | Republican | R+72.0 | 2,823 |
| 48339-1700039 | Republican | R+80.1 | 2,620 |
| 48339-1700085 | Republican | R+68.6 | 2,582 |
| 48339-1700002 | Republican | R+42.0 | 2,559 |
| 48339-1700057 | Republican | R+67.7 | 2,502 |
| 48339-1700021 | Republican | R+40.6 | 2,498 |
All 42 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 16 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 16 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 16 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 16?
Will Metcalf (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 16?
R+60.7 — 17,930 Democratic, 73,385 Republican, of 91,315 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.