electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 58
Texas State House District 58
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 58 →
Current officeholder
Helen Kerwin Independent
2024 result
Republican R+82.1
2024 votes cast
77,695
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
48 precincts reported in Texas State House District 58's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48251-1260043 | Republican | R+58.0 | 3,521 |
| 48251-1260030 | Republican | R+86.3 | 3,420 |
| 48251-1260035 | Republican | R+83.3 | 3,023 |
| 48251-1260041 | Republican | R+81.9 | 2,980 |
| 48251-1260002 | Republican | R+83.0 | 2,844 |
| 48251-1260011 | Republican | R+85.5 | 2,688 |
| 48251-1260019 | Republican | R+78.2 | 2,477 |
| 48251-1260018 | Republican | R+79.0 | 2,349 |
| 48251-1260022 | Republican | R+80.5 | 2,266 |
| 48251-1260012A | Republican | R+83.8 | 2,263 |
| 48251-1260032 | Republican | R+84.7 | 2,227 |
| 48251-1260004 | Republican | R+78.5 | 2,042 |
| 48251-1260024 | Republican | R+84.7 | 2,022 |
| 48251-1260007 | Republican | R+84.2 | 1,995 |
| 48251-1260039 | Republican | R+81.1 | 1,959 |
| 48251-1260042 | Republican | R+74.7 | 1,935 |
| 48251-1260040 | Republican | R+77.6 | 1,925 |
| 48251-1260023 | Republican | R+90.7 | 1,899 |
| 48251-1260027 | Republican | R+88.6 | 1,889 |
| 48251-1260033 | Republican | R+86.4 | 1,839 |
All 48 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 58 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 58 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 58 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 58?
Helen Kerwin (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 58?
R+82.1 — 0 Democratic, 63,760 Republican, of 77,695 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.